02 November 2010
Be The Tsunami: Today Is The Day
29 October 2010
Remember: 4 Days
28 October 2010
Send Home 'Senator Ma'am'
If you have tips, questions, comments or suggestions, email me at lybberty@gmail.com.
21 October 2010
Remember: Be The Wave

Join here.
06 October 2010
Remember November 2nd
06 September 2010
Taking Back Congress
40 Seats is a Political Action Committee (PAC) aimed at returning a conservative majority to Congress in the 2010 election. 40 Seats strategy is to target the most vulnerable liberal incumbents and focus resources on winning those races. 40 Seats fosters volunteerism and connects volunteers with the critical Congressional races closest to them.
02 September 2010
"I Love What I'm Getting Out Of You, Blue Cougar!"
18 January 2010
Massachusetts Blue Goes Brown: Get Out The Vote For Scott
04 November 2008
5 (Actually 6) Reasons To Be Optimistic For McCain
Without further ado:
5 (really 6) reasons to be optimistic for John McCain:There you have it, Smith's 5 (nay, 6) reasons to be optimistic for McCain. He gave 5 reason for Obama too, but I don't want to be a buzzkill. And I'm an eternal optimist, so there's that.
- Obama's weak finish in the primaries (ed. note: performing 2.8% worse than he polled)
- The U.S. is still a conservative country.
- A relatively high number of undecideds (ed. note: who look like they're breaking towards McCain)
- race (ed. note: by this he & liberal pundits mean 'Americans are racist,' but a better way to understand it is that people don't want to be perceived as being racist, so they say they're voting for Obama when really they're voting for McCain. The so-called "Bradley Effect" or some derivative thereof.)
- older voters may determine outcome in OH, FL, IN, CO (ed. note: most of the people I've spoken with during my GOTV calling have been seniors. And they all said two things: 'I already voted' AND 'I voted for John McCain.' Small sample, whatever.)
- focus on taxes narrowing polls (ed. note: he couldn't have seen it, but those just tuning in have seen Obama the "Redistributor." And, Obama's desire to "bankrupt" the coal industry can't play well in Pennsylvania & Ohio.
If you have tips, questions, comments or suggestions, email me at lybberty@gmail.com.
03 November 2008
Do Something: Get Out The Vote - Email To Your Friends Edition, Re-Post
(no offense to my Canadian readers)
We're close and closing. And anyway, nobody knows what to expect with the polls this year. They were wildly inaccurate during the primaries and they've been all over the place the last few weeks. The word "volatile" comes to mind.
Whether you are in a Battleground state for McCain, California for Proposition 8, or Washington State for Dino Rossi, volunteer a little time and make some calls or pound the pavement and visit some Republicans & undecideds.
PUT JOHN McCAIN & SARAH PALIN IN THE WHITE HOUSE?
PASS PROPOSITION 8?
GET DINO ROSSI ELECTED?
MAINTAIN A FILIBUSTER IN THE SENATE?
UPDATE 31 October 12:45pm BST: A little research has revealed an interesting fact: During the primaries, Barack Obama performed, on average, 2.8 points worse than he polled in the 3 days leading up to the election.
Call this whatever you want, I call this hope we can believe in.
Also, be sure and check out the Iowahawk post I linked to earlier today. His explanation of the statistics behind polling should also provide a bit of optimistic comfort.
Finally, I don't know how I missed this before: For all those of you who, like me, can't get to a McCain camp calling center, for whatever reason, click here, to sign up to make calls online. Even if you can only do it for 15 mins--do it. Do it for 15 mins every day from now until the election.
For advice and more on how to successfully do this, check out Gabriel Malor's post at Ace.
UPDATE 1 November 2:08am BST: I've got GOTV information for my favorite states. I narrowed down from the Top 10 states in terms of visits to OL&L to the states that could impact things. They are:
- California w/Prop 8 and the fact that so many of you are from there and can call out.Anyway, thanks to Fernando M. for hosting the spreadsheet with all the info. Click here to download and get to work.
- Pennsylvania. Yep, I was surprised too. There are quite a few of you PA readers. And you live in a hotly contested state.
- Virginia - We'll see if this traditionally red state is really going to go for Obama. In fact, this will be an early bellweather on election night. You readers get out and do your job: make calls for McCain.
- Washington - Do what you can for Dino Rossi and make calls into other states.
- I think there's a Georgia Victory Center listed in there somewhere too. Lots of Georgia readers. Thanks, guys.
Alternatively, you can always make calls from the safety of your own home by using your computer.
UPDATE 2 November 12:47am BST: In cased you missed it.... Zogby's 1 day polling puts McCain up by 1--48-47. It ain't over till it's over.
UPDATE 3 November 1:40am BST: TIPP has it Obama 46, McCain 44. And remember, Obama, Guitar Hero* performs 2.8% worse than he polls.
Yeah he does.
*Over-the-top performance, no real skill or experience.
If you have tips, questions, comments or suggestions, email me at lybberty@gmail.com.
The Closer: Minnesota In Play?
The latest news out of Minnesota, home of this year's RNC, suggests that state may be in play.
60 hours until votes are counted in Minnesota, Barack Obama’s advantage over John McCain is back inside the margin of sampling error, according to SurveyUSA’s final look at one of 2008’s most interesting states. Obama 49%, McCain 46%, in interviewing underwritten by KSTP-TV in Minneapolis, WDIO-TV Duluth and KAAL-TV Rochester, 10/30/08 through 11/01/08. Obama led by 6 two weeks ago, now by 3. The late break to the GOP is occurring among men and seniors.Yup. We got an election on our hands.
I'm not prepared to add Minnesota to the list of 5, but if you're from Minnesota, by all means, GOTV. If you live close (Dakotas, etc.) and feel like you speak the language (northern continental American), you too should call Minnesotans. Even if we can't get the state to go for McCain, the least we can do is keep that idiot Franken out of the Senate.
(h/t Hot Air)
If you have tips, questions, comments or suggestions, email me at lybberty@gmail.com.
02 November 2008
Do Something: Get Out The Vote - Email To Your Friends Edition
(no offense to my Canadian readers)
We're close and closing. And anyway, nobody knows what to expect with the polls this year. They were wildly inaccurate during the primaries and they've been all over the place the last few weeks. The word "volatile" comes to mind.
Whether you are in a Battleground state for McCain, California for Proposition 8, or Washington State for Dino Rossi, volunteer a little time and make some calls or pound the pavement and visit some Republicans & undecideds.
PUT JOHN McCAIN & SARAH PALIN IN THE WHITE HOUSE?
PASS PROPOSITION 8?
GET DINO ROSSI ELECTED?
MAINTAIN A FILIBUSTER IN THE SENATE?
UPDATE 31 October 12:45pm BST: A little research has revealed an interesting fact: During the primaries, Barack Obama performed, on average, 2.8 points worse than he polled in the 3 days leading up to the election.
Call this whatever you want, I call this hope we can believe in.
Also, be sure and check out the Iowahawk post I linked to earlier today. His explanation of the statistics behind polling should also provide a bit of optimistic comfort.
Finally, I don't know how I missed this before: For all those of you who, like me, can't get to a McCain camp calling center, for whatever reason, click here, to sign up to make calls online. Even if you can only do it for 15 mins--do it. Do it for 15 mins every day from now until the election.
For advice and more on how to successfully do this, check out Gabriel Malor's post at Ace.
UPDATE 1 November 2:08am BST: I've got GOTV information for my favorite states. I narrowed down from the Top 10 states in terms of visits to OL&L to the states that could impact things. They are:
- California w/Prop 8 and the fact that so many of you are from there and can call out.Anyway, thanks to Fernando M. for hosting the spreadsheet with all the info. Click here to download and get to work.
- Pennsylvania. Yep, I was surprised too. There are quite a few of you PA readers. And you live in a hotly contested state.
- Virginia - We'll see if this traditionally red state is really going to go for Obama. In fact, this will be an early bellweather on election night. You readers get out and do your job: make calls for McCain.
- Washington - Do what you can for Dino Rossi and make calls into other states.
- I think there's a Georgia Victory Center listed in there somewhere too. Lots of Georgia readers. Thanks, guys.
Alternatively, you can always make calls from the safety of your own home by using your computer.
UPDATE 2 November 12:47am BST: In cased you missed it.... Zogby's 1 day polling puts McCain up by 1--48-47. It ain't over till it's over.
UPDATE 3 November 1:40am BST: TIPP has it Obama 46, McCain 44. And remember, Obama, Guitar Hero* performs 2.8% worse than he polls.
Yeah he does.
*Over-the-top performance, no real skill or experience.
If you have tips, questions, comments or suggestions, email me at lybberty@gmail.com.
GOTV - It's Great!
Thank you, sir.
This is American democracy at its finest--getting out the vote for the candidate we believe it.
Can I say better than that? I think not.
*You don't have to call from your computer. The only purpose of the computer is to provide the names and numbers of people to call in your chosen state.
I recommend one of the following 5 states:
- ColoradoDo it, just do it.
- Pennsylvania
- Viriginia
- Nevada
- Ohio
If you have tips, questions, comments or suggestions, email me at lybberty@gmail.com.
You Gotta Question Their Assumptions
More encouraging words from ACE:
THE PATH TO VICTORY FOR McCAIN IS IN OUR HANDSCome on folks, join me in making the calls for McPalin. Click the link and copy and paste it and mail it to all your McPalin-supportin' friends and family. Write up a note in Facebook and paste a link there encouraging your friends to do the same. Make it your status on Facebook or MySpace.The media polls are heavily weighted towards Democrats in terms of Party ID. With that kind of heavy weighting, it would be impossible for McCain to show any lead even if he had a small led among independents. For example, Rasmussen currently assumes the following party id break down: Democrats 40%, Republicans 32.8%, and Independents 27.2%. He is assuming a whopping 7 percent advantage in party id for the Democrats. This is a big barrier to overcome in these polls. If we assume a 85% Democrat support for Obama and 85% Republican support for McCain and a 50/50 breakdown among independents (ignore undecided and third party candidates) this would translate to a poll finding of 52.5% for Obama and 47.5% for McCain which incidentally gives the same 5% spread as in the current Rasmussen poll.
Note that all of this is simply from the 7% party id advantage. If we reduce the party id spread to 3%, the numbers would change to 51% for Obama and 49% to McCain. Now if we assume that McCain picks off more Democrats than Obama does Republicans, 85% Democrats for Obama and 90% Republicans for McCain then the outcome will be 49.3% for Obama and 50.7% for McCain, a clear LEAD.
What this simple analysis shows is that there are two crucial things for McCain victory:
a) HIGH Republican turnout.
b) HIGH PUMA (Democrats against Obama) turnout.
I strongly believe that both are very achievable. It all comes down to TURNOUT, GOTV, and ENTHUSIASM. This is why Obama and his media acolytes are working overtime to demorialize and suppress the turnout among Republicans and PUMAs. We have to keep working hard, ignore their propaganda, and get out and vote.
One final thing. Rasmussen has been steadily increasing his Dem party id advantage over the last three months. I suspect the same with other pollsters working for major media news organizations. However, the Republican base and the PUMAs are as energized as the Dem base and may in fact be even more energized. In addition to this, if last minute deciders go overwhelmingly against Obama as happened during the Democratic primaries in the swing states, McCain should win by an even bigger margin. The media and their pollsters are in for a huge surprise.
From an ex-Democrat turned independent supporting McCain/Palin '08.
This is the word: We can still win this thing.
If you have tips, questions, comments or suggestions, email me at lybberty@gmail.com.
01 November 2008
Do Something: Get Out The Vote (Bumped, Three-Posted, UPDATED x3)
(no offense to my Canadian readers)
We're close and closing. And anyway, nobody knows what to expect with the polls this year anyway. They were wildly inaccurate during the primaries and they've been all over the place the last few weeks.
Whether you are in a Battleground state for McCain, California for Proposition 8, or Washington State for Dino Rossi, volunteer a little time and make some calls or pound the pavement and visit some Republicans & undecideds.
If you have information on GOTV efforts in your area, email me with the relevant details and I'll pass them along.
PUT JOHN McCAIN & SARAH PALIN IN THE WHITE HOUSE?
PASS PROPOSITION 8?
GET DINO ROSSI ELECTED?
MAINTAIN A FILIBUSTER IN THE SENATE?
UPDATE 31 October 12:45pm BST: A little research has revealed an interesting fact: During the primaries, Barack Obama performed, on average, 2.8 points worse than he polled in the 3 days leading up to the election.
Call this whatever you want, I call this hope we can believe in.
Also, be sure and check out the Iowahawk post I linked to earlier today. His explanation of the statistics behind polling should also provide a bit of optimistic comfort.
Finally, I don't know how I missed this before: For all those of you who, like me, can't get to a McCain camp calling center, for whatever reason, click here, to sign up to make calls online. Even if you can only do it for 15 mins--do it. Do it for 15 mins every day from now until the election.
For advice and more on how to successfully do this, check out Gabriel Malor's post at Ace.
UPDATE 1 November 2:08am BST: I got the information I referred to above. I narrowed down from the Top 10 states in terms of visits to OL&L to the states that could impact things. They are:
- California w/Prop 8 and the fact that so many of you are from there and can call out.Anyway, thanks to Fernando M. for hosting the spreadsheet with all the info. Click here to download and get to work.
- Pennsylvania. Yep, I was surprised too. There are quite a few of you PA readers. And you live in a hotly contested state.
- Virginia - We'll see if this traditionally red state is really going to go for Obama. In fact, this will be an early bellweather on election night. You readers get out and do your job: make calls for McCain.
- Washington - Do what you can for Dino Rossi and make calls into other states.
- I think there's a Georgia Victory Center listed in there somewhere too. Lots of Georgia readers. Thanks, guys.
Alternatively, you can always make calls from the safety of your own home by using your computer.
UPDATE 2 November 12:47am BST: In cased you missed it.... Zogby's 1 day polling puts McCain up by 1--48-47. It ain't over till it's over.
If you have tips, questions, comments or suggestions, email me at lybberty@gmail.com.
31 October 2008
Do Something: Get Out The Vote (Bumped, Re-Re-Posted, UPDATED, Again)
(no offense to my Canadian readers)
We're close and closing. And anyway, nobody knows what to expect with the polls this year anyway. They were wildly inaccurate during the primaries and they've been all over the place the last few weeks.
Whether you are in a Battleground state for McCain, California for Proposition 8, or Washington State for Dino Rossi, volunteer a little time and make some calls or pound the pavement and visit some Republicans & undecideds.
If you have information on GOTV efforts in your area, email me with the relevant details and I'll pass them along.
PUT JOHN McCAIN & SARAH PALIN IN THE WHITE HOUSE?
PASS PROPOSITION 8?
GET DINO ROSSI ELECTED?
MAINTAIN A FILIBUSTER IN THE SENATE?
UPDATE 31 October 12:45pm BST: A little research has revealed an interesting fact: During the primaries, Barack Obama performed, on average, 2.8 points worse than he polled in the 3 days leading up to the election.
Call this whatever you want, I call this hope we can believe in.
Also, be sure and check out the Iowahawk post I linked to earlier today. His explanation of the statistics behind polling should also provide a bit of optimistic comfort.
Finally, I don't know how I missed this before: For all those of you who, like me, can't get to a McCain camp calling center, for whatever reason, click here, to sign up to make calls online. Even if you can only do it for 15 mins--do it. Do it for 15 mins every day from now until the election.
For advice and more on how to successfully do this, check out Gabriel Malor's post at Ace.
UPDATE 1 November 2:08am BST: I got the information I referred to above. I narrowed down from the Top 10 states in terms of visits to OL&L to the states that could impact things. They are:
- California w/Prop 8 and the fact that so many of you are from there and can call out.Anyway, thanks to Fernando M. for hosting the spreadsheet with all the info. Click here to download and get to work.
- Pennsylvania. Yep, I was surprised too. There are quite a few of you PA readers. And you live in a hotly contested state.
- Virginia - We'll see if this traditionally red state is really going to go for Obama. In fact, this will be an early bellweather on election night. You readers get out and do your job: make calls for McCain.
- Washington - Do what you can for Dino Rossi and make calls into other states.
- I think there's a Georgia Victory Center listed in there somewhere too. Lots of Georgia readers. Thanks, guys.
Alternatively, you can always make calls from the safety of your own home by using your computer.
If you have tips, questions, comments or suggestions, email me at lybberty@gmail.com.
GOTV - Call From Your Computer
Online Phone BankIt's easy to do and you can call into whatever state you like. Pennsylvania seems like a good one to me.
Put in a couple of hours every day from here until election day.
This sucker is still winnable.
(see my other GOTV post)
If you have tips, questions, comments or suggestions, email me at lybberty@gmail.com.
Do Something: Get Out The Vote (Bumped, Re-Posted, UPDATED)
[as below, click this link to make online calls]
If, like me, you'd prefer not to see America elect the most liberal-left President in modern history, with Pelosi controlling the House, and Reid the Senate, thereby enabling them to make us Canada Jr., how about a little GOTV?
(no offense to my Canadian readers)
We're close and closing. And anyway, nobody knows what to expect with the polls this year anyway. They were wildly inaccurate during the primaries and they've been all over the place the last few weeks.
I analyzed my analytics and discovered the Top 10 states visiting OL&L over the last year or so. I am in the process of getting info for McCain Victory 2008 campaign centers in the corresponding states. I'll get back to you with that when I can.
Whether you are in a Battleground state for McCain, California for Proposition 8, or Washington State for Dino Rossi, volunteer a little time and make some calls or pound the pavement and visit some Republicans & undecideds.
If you have information on GOTV efforts in your area, email me with the relevant details and I'll pass them along.
PUT JOHN McCAIN & SARAH PALIN IN THE WHITE HOUSE?
PASS PROPOSITION 8?
GET DINO ROSSI ELECTED?
MAINTAIN A FILIBUSTER IN THE SENATE?
UPDATE 31 October 12:45pm BST: A little research has revealed an interesting fact: During the primaries, Barack Obama performed, on average, 2.8 points worse than he polled in the 3 days leading up to the election.
Call this whatever you want, I call this hope we can believe in.
Also, be sure and check out the Iowahawk post I linked to earlier today. His explanation of the statistics behind polling should also provide a bit of optimistic comfort.
Finally, I don't know how I missed this before: For all those of you who, like me, can't get to a McCain camp calling center, for whatever reason, click here, to sign up to make calls online. Even if you can only do it for 15 mins--do it. Do it for 15 mins every day from now until the election.
For advice and more on how to successfully do this, check out Gabriel Malor's post at Ace.
If you have tips, questions, comments or suggestions, email me at lybberty@gmail.com.
30 October 2008
Do Something: Get Out The Vote
[as below, click this link to make online calls]
If, like me, you'd prefer not to see America elect the most liberal-left President in modern history, with Pelosi controlling the House, and Reid the Senate, thereby enabling them to make us Canada Jr., how about a little GOTV?
(no offense to my Canadian readers)
We're close and closing. And anyway, nobody knows what to expect with the polls this year anyway. They were wildly inaccurate during the primaries and they've been all over the place the last few weeks.
I analyzed my analytics and discovered the Top 10 states visiting OL&L over the last year or so. I am in the process of getting info for McCain Victory 2008 campaign centers in the corresponding states. I'll get back to you with that when I can.
Whether you are in a Battleground state for McCain, California for Proposition 8, or Washington State for Dino Rossi, volunteer a little time and make some calls or pound the pavement and visit some Republicans & undecideds.
If you have information on GOTV efforts in your area, email me with the relevant details and I'll pass them along.
PUT JOHN McCAIN & SARAH PALIN IN THE WHITE HOUSE?
PASS PROPOSITION 8?
GET DINO ROSSI ELECTED?
MAINTAIN A FILIBUSTER IN THE SENATE?
UPDATE 31 October 12:45pm BST: A little research has revealed an interesting fact: During the primaries, Barack Obama performed, on average, 2.8 points worse than he polled in the 3 days leading up to the election.
Call this whatever you want, I call this hope we can believe in.
Also, be sure and check out the Iowahawk post I linked to earlier today. His explanation of the statistics behind polling should also provide a bit of optimistic comfort.
Finally, I don't know how I missed this before: For all those of you who, like me, can't get to a McCain camp calling center, for whatever reason, click here, to sign up to make calls online. Even if you can only do it for 15 mins--do it. Do it for 15 mins every day from now until the election.
For advice and more on how to successfully do this, check out Gabriel Malor's post at Ace.
If you have tips, questions, comments or suggestions, email me at lybberty@gmail.com.
